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J Powell Confirms $35k Outlook
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J Powell Confirms $35k Outlook

Crypto Compass 16

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Swissblock Insights
May 03, 2023
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J Powell Confirms $35k Outlook
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Key Takeaways

  • Fed’s change in stance following the 25bps rate hike sets the stage for bitcoin.

  • The mid-term view is confirmed, but some chop in the short run is anticipated.

  • Ethereum is setting up for the next leg up, it will clearly outperform bitcoin.

  • What are we missing for the next leg up?

  • Why should we care about the Fed? All you need to know is that today’s 25bps is most likely the last one (pause coming), which is exceptionally bullish for bitcoin.

  • In other words, J Powell paved the way for $35k. The question remains, what will trigger the leg up and when will it happen?

  • We are more likely to hit $35k before we hit $25k with the current state of the system. The risk of a pronounced drop is somewhat low - Bitcoin Risk Signal is below 25.

  • The last time the Risk Signal came from the high-risk zone and fluctuated within the elevated-risk zone (0 - 25), the price set up for explosive moves. All we need now is for the Risk Signal to drop to 0.

  • Now that the $35k outlook is crystal clear, what are we missing?

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